Taking a first crack at Golden Globe predictions


One of the glitziest precursors out there is the Golden Globe Awards. They may not be incredibly influential, Oscar wise, but they definitely factor into the race. It’s an interesting situation, one we’ve detailed in the past (and may very well get into again). As such, the Globes get more than their due. Today, I wanted to take an initial crack at predictions for the award, pairing them with my standard Academy Award predictions. A lot of this is even bigger guesswork now, as you’ll see below. Still, it’s worth a shot, right? Exactly. I knew you’d agree with me. Now, we can move on.

The Hollywood Foreign Press Association (or HFPA) do favor celebrities, so this could end up being a hell of a haul for Bradley Cooper and his filmmaking debut A Star Is Born. There’s a chance that he wins two individual statues, while his film takes another two or three. The Globes have been known to go all in on things. Bank on Lady Gaga winning something, likely in the Best Original Song category, though Best Actress in a Drama is very much in play. If not Cooper’s film, in terms of a big player, the HFPA could be fond of something like The Favourite or Green Book. Watch out for Mary Poppins Returns as well. We shall see…


Here now is a first look at my Golden Globe predictions for 2018:

Best Picture (Drama)

1. A Star Is Born
2. First Man
3. BlacKkKlansman
4. Roma
5. Black Panther

If there’s a sixth: If Beale Street Could Talk
If there’s a seventh: Boy Erased
One more to consider: On the Basis of Sex

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)

1. Green Book
2. Vice
3. The Favourite
4. Mary Poppins Returns
5. Stan & Ollie

If there’s a sixth: Crazy Rich Asians
If there’s a seventh: Tully
One more to consider: Eighth Grade

Best Actor (Drama)

1. Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
2. Ryan Gosling – First Man
3. Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody
4. Hugh Jackman – The Front Runner
5. Clint Eastwood – The Mule

If there’s a sixth: Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased
If there’s a seventh: Ben Foster – Leave No Trace
One more to consider: Chadwick Boseman – Black Panther

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)

1. Christian Bale – Vice
2. Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
3. John C. Reilly – Stan and Ollie
4. Robert Redford – The Old Man and the Gun
5. Steve Coogan – Stan and Ollie

If there’s a sixth: Steve Carell – Welcome to Marwen
If there’s a seventh: Lakeith Stanfield – Sorry to Bother You
One more to consider: Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool 2

Best Actress (Drama)

1. Lady Gaga – A Star Is Born
2. Glenn Close – The Wife
3. Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
4. Julia Roberts – Ben is Back
5. Felicity Jones – On the Basis of Sex

If there’s a sixth: Carey Mulligan – Wildlife
If there’s a seventh: Nicole Kidman – Destroyer
One more to consider: Viola Davis – Widows

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

1. Olivia Colman – The Favourite
2. Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns
3. Charlize Theron – Tully
4. Sandra Bullock – Ocean’s Eight
5. Rachel McAdams – Game Night

If there’s a sixth: Emma Stone – The Favourite
If there’s a seventh: Kiersey Clemons – Hearts Beat Loud
One more to consider: Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade

Best Supporting Actor

1. Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born
2. Mahershala Ali – Green Book
3. Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
4. Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman
5. Nicholas Hoult – The Favourite

If there’s a sixth: Sam Rockwell – Vice
If there’s a seventh: Timothee Chalamet – Beautiful Boy
One more to consider: Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther

Best Supporting Actress

1. Amy Adams – Vice
2. Claire Foy – First Man
3. Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
4. Nicole Kidman – Boy Erased
5. Natalie Portman – Vox Lux

If there’s a sixth: Emma Stone – The Favourite
If there’s a seventh: Rachel Weisz – The Favourite
One more to consider: Emily Blunt – A Quiet Place

Best Director

1. Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
2. Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
3. Damien Chazelle – First Man
4. Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
5. Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite

If there’s a sixth: Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
If there’s a seventh: Steve McQueen – Widows
One more to consider: Clint Eastwood – The Mule

Best Screenplay

1. The Favourite
2. Roma
3. A Star Is Born
4. First Man
5. BlacKkKlansman

If there’s a sixth: If Beale Street Could Talk
If there’s a seventh: Green Book
One more to consider: Sorry to Bother You

Best Animated Feature

1. Incredibles 2
2. Isle of Dogs
3. Ralph Breaks the Internet
4. Early Man
5. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

One more to consider: Dr. Seuss’ The Grinch

Best Original Score

1. First Man
2. BlacKkKlansman
3. If Beale Street Could Talk
4. Mary Poppins Returns
5. Widows

One more to consider: Suspiria

Best Original Song

1. A Star Is Born
2. A Star Is Born
3. A Star Is Born
4. Black Panther
5. Hearts Beat Loud

One more to consider: Boy Erased

Best Foreign Film

1. Roma
2. Cold War
3. Capernaum
4. Never Look Away
5. El Angel

One more to consider: Border

Stay tuned for updated Oscar predictions later on this week and another Golden Globe update soon!

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